The haves and have nots of the AI gold rush

人工智能淘金热中的赢家与输家

The vibes around the current AI boom aren’t great, even in the tech industry, according to a lengthy social media post from Menlo Ventures partner Deedy Das. 根据 Menlo Ventures 合伙人 Deedy Das 在社交媒体上发布的一篇长文，尽管正处于人工智能热潮之中，但科技行业内部的氛围却并不乐观。

Das described San Francisco as “pretty frenetic right now,” as “the divide in outcomes is the worst I’ve ever seen.” Das 形容旧金山“现在相当狂热”，并表示“我所见过的结果分化程度，这是最严重的一次。”

Using a “back of the envelope AI calculation,” he projected that there are around 10,000 people — founders and employees at companies like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Nvidia — that have “hit retirement wealth of well above $20M,” while everyone else worries “they can work their well-paying (but <$500k) job for their whole life and never get there.” 通过一种“粗略的人工智能计算”，他推测大约有 10,000 人——即 OpenAI、Anthropic 和 Nvidia 等公司的创始人和员工——已经“积累了远超 2000 万美元的退休财富”，而其他人则担心“他们即便终身从事高薪（但低于 50 万美元）的工作，也永远无法达到这个水平。”

Plus, “layoffs are in full swing,” and “many software engineers feel that their life’s skill is no longer useful,” leading to confusion about the best career paths and “a deep malaise about work (and its future),” Das said. 此外，Das 指出，“裁员潮正如火如荼”，许多软件工程师感到“他们毕生所学的技能已不再有用”，这导致人们对最佳职业路径感到困惑，并对“工作（及其未来）产生了深深的消极情绪”。

This prompted some eye-rolling on X, with entrepreneur Deva Hazarika arguing that “most of the people in this post” are “incredibly fortunate and can simply make a choice to be happy.” 这在 X（原推特）上引发了一些反感，企业家 Deva Hazarika 反驳称，“这篇帖子中提到的大多数人”都“极其幸运，他们完全可以选择快乐地生活。”

Another user suggested it’s “pretty damn novel & also kinda nasty” that in the current cycle, “the same technology is both the lottery ticket & the thing eating your fallback.” 另一位用户则表示，在当前的周期中，“同一种技术既是彩票，又是吞噬你退路的东西”，这“真是相当新奇，也相当恶劣”。