Demis Hassabis said this might be the ‘foothills of the singularity.’ What?
Demis Hassabis said this might be the ‘foothills of the singularity.’ What?
德米斯·哈萨比斯称这可能是“奇点的前奏”。这是什么意思？
Welcome to a “profound moment for humanity,” according to Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis, who closed out Google I/O’s keynote presentation on Tuesday, saying: 根据谷歌 DeepMind 首席执行官德米斯·哈萨比斯（Demis Hassabis）的说法，我们正处于一个“对人类而言意义深远的时刻”。他在周二的 Google I/O 主题演讲结束时表示：
Google’s cutting-edge research and products will help unlock AGI’s incredible potential for the benefit of the entire world. When we look back at this time, I think we will realize that we were standing in the foothills of the singularity. “谷歌的前沿研究和产品将有助于释放通用人工智能（AGI）的巨大潜力，造福全世界。当我们回首这段时光时，我想我们会意识到，我们当时正站在奇点的前奏（山脚下）。”
It will be a profound moment for humanity. This technology will be a force multiplier for human ingenuity and usher in a new golden age of scientific discovery and progress, improving the lives of everyone, everywhere. We look forward to building the future with all of you. Thank you, and enjoy the rest of Google I/O. “这将是人类历史上一个深远的时刻。这项技术将成为人类智慧的倍增器，开启科学发现与进步的黄金新时代，改善世界各地每个人的生活。我们期待与大家共同构建未来。谢谢大家，祝大家在接下来的 Google I/O 活动中玩得愉快。”
Just before announcing we’ve possibly arrived at “the foothills of the singularity,” Hassabis introduced Gemini for Science, a set of tools and experiments in Google Labs and Google Antigravity intended for helping with scientific research. According to Hassabis, with tools like these, Google hopes to “reimagine drug discovery with the goal of one day solving all disease.” 就在宣布我们可能已经抵达“奇点的前奏”之前，哈萨比斯介绍了“Gemini for Science”，这是一套位于 Google Labs 和 Google Antigravity 中的工具与实验项目，旨在辅助科学研究。据哈萨比斯所言，通过这些工具，谷歌希望“重塑药物研发，目标是终有一天能攻克所有疾病。”
Tech executives often discuss AI this way, like Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella referring to AI as “cognitive amplifier tools” and Luma AI CEO Amit Jain’s claim last year that AI is the key to saving Hollywood. 科技高管们经常以这种方式谈论人工智能，例如微软首席执行官萨提亚·纳德拉（Satya Nadella）将人工智能称为“认知增强工具”，以及 Luma AI 首席执行官阿米特·贾恩（Amit Jain）去年声称人工智能是拯救好莱坞的关键。
In an interview with Bloomberg just a few months ago, Hassabis said that “the singularity is another word for a full AGI arriving,” which is not the same definition we’re used to from the likes of Vernor Vinge and Ray Kurzweil. 在几个月前接受彭博社采访时，哈萨比斯曾表示，“奇点是完全通用人工智能（Full AGI）到来的另一种说法”，这与我们从弗诺·文奇（Vernor Vinge）和雷·库兹韦尔（Ray Kurzweil）等人那里所熟悉的定义并不相同。
At the time, even by his measurement, he claimed that “we’re nowhere near that.” When asked about his timeline for achieving AGI, Hassabis said he was standing by his prediction that we have a “50 percent chance of getting there by 2030.” 当时，即使按照他的衡量标准，他也声称“我们离那还差得远”。当被问及实现通用人工智能的时间表时，哈萨比斯表示，他坚持自己的预测，即我们有“50% 的概率在 2030 年前实现这一目标”。