Here is my wild take: AI Is Scary, But Not Because It’s Smart

我的狂野观点：AI 很可怕，但不是因为它聪明

Let me start like this. As a human being, I’m telling you the truth: you actually matter more than anything. It’s just that you’re always on your screen, watching Dario interviews, reading AI tweets, and now you believe you don’t matter anymore because some man said we don’t need you. Look there are still many beautiful things in life if you ignore Dario Amodei for a minute. Spend time with friends in person, Play Minecraft, Watch football, Drink a beer, Dm women and get rejected, Having a cheating girlfriend and still in relationship with them, Have a friend with benefits and many more. Just live a little.

让我这样开始吧。作为一个人类，我告诉你真相：你其实比任何东西都重要。只是你总是盯着屏幕，看 Dario 的采访，读 AI 的推文，现在你开始相信自己不再重要了，因为某个男人说我们不再需要你了。听着，如果你暂时忽略 Dario Amodei，生活中还有许多美好的事物。和朋友面对面相处，玩《我的世界》，看足球，喝杯啤酒，给女生发私信然后被拒绝，经历女朋友出轨却依然维持关系，拥有炮友等等。稍微去生活一下吧。

But let’s move ahead and go straight to the point. Why is AI actually scary? Its Not because it writes code, Not because it can generate a landing page, Not because it can write a scientific essay or do your accounting and finance and wipe out all your bank. AI is scary because it arrived at the perfect time, with the perfect people, with the perfect money, and with the perfect fear already waiting for it. AI didn’t enter a normal world. It entered a world that was already mentally cooked.

但让我们继续，直奔主题。AI 到底为什么可怕？不是因为它会写代码，不是因为它能生成落地页，也不是因为它能写科学论文、处理你的会计财务或清空你的银行账户。AI 可怕是因为它出现在一个完美的时机，带着完美的人选、完美的资金，以及早已为它准备好的完美恐惧。AI 进入的不是一个正常的世界，它进入的是一个精神上已经“熟透了”的世界。

Let’s go back a little. COVID happened. The whole world changed. Restaurants closed, Small businesses died quietly, Airlines were parking planes. People who had spent ten years building something watched it disappear because somebody coughed in another country. Then tech had the opposite experience. Companies started hiring like drunk uncles at a wedding. Money was everywhere. Remote work became normal. Everyone was building products, hiring teams, raising funds, and acting like growth would never end.

让我们回顾一下。新冠疫情发生了。整个世界变了。餐馆关门，小企业悄无声息地倒闭，航空公司停飞了飞机。那些花了十年时间建立事业的人，眼睁睁看着它因为另一个国家有人咳嗽而消失。随后，科技行业经历了截然相反的体验。公司开始像婚礼上喝醉的叔叔一样疯狂招聘。到处都是钱。远程办公成了常态。每个人都在开发产品、组建团队、筹集资金，表现得好像增长永远不会结束一样。

Then the pandemic boom ended. Reality entered the chat. Companies started laying people off like unused clothes. One day you were “family.” The next day your Slack stopped working. That’s when the word “layoff” became a global horror movie. People saw something they thought was impossible. They saw companies fire thousands of people and still keep the website online. That broke people’s minds. Before that, many people believed If I work hard, I’m safe. Then after layoffs, people realized: Oh, this company can delete my badge, cancel my email, and still post about mental health awareness next week. That’s when people became fragile. Not stupid. Just fragile. And when people are fragile, every prediction sounds like prophecy.

然后，疫情带来的繁荣结束了。现实进入了聊天室。公司开始像丢弃旧衣服一样裁员。前一天你还是“家人”，第二天你的 Slack 就无法登录了。那时，“裁员”成了全球恐怖片。人们看到了他们认为不可能发生的事情。他们看到公司解雇了数千人，但网站依然正常运行。这击碎了人们的心理防线。在此之前，许多人相信“只要我努力工作，我就很安全”。但在裁员之后，人们意识到：哦，这家公司可以注销我的工牌、停用我的邮箱，下周还能继续发布关于心理健康意识的推文。那时，人们变得脆弱了。不是愚蠢，只是脆弱。而当人们脆弱时，每一个预测听起来都像是预言。

Then, during this fragile era, the glorious warrior appeared. The almighty Sam Altman. The man of his word. The god of fundraising. With enough connections, enough money, and enough timing, it was his time to shine. And he came with AI. But he didn’t bring AI into a peaceful world. He brought AI into a world where people were already scared of losing their jobs. That’s important, Because when someone says: AI will replace you, People believe it faster when they have already watched companies lay off entire departments without replacing them. We already saw the first part People disappearing. Now imagine someone saying: This time, there is a replacement. That is a totally believable disaster. That is not just a product launch. That is psychological warfare with a checkout.

然后，在这个脆弱的时代，光荣的战士出现了。全能的 Sam Altman。言出必行的人。融资之神。凭借足够的人脉、足够的资金和完美的时机，轮到他闪耀了。他带着 AI 来了。但他并没有把 AI 带入一个和平的世界。他把 AI 带入了一个人们已经害怕失去工作的世界。这一点很重要，因为当有人说“AI 将取代你”时，如果人们已经目睹了公司在不进行任何替换的情况下裁掉整个部门，他们会更快地相信这一点。我们已经看到了第一部分：人们消失了。现在想象一下有人说：这一次，有了替代品。这是一个完全可信的灾难。这不仅仅是一个产品发布，这是一场带有结账功能的心理战。

And after that, they discovered the cheat code. Fear sells AI better than features. If you say: “This tool can help you work faster.” Some people try it. But if you say: “This tool might take your job.” Everybody listens. Your father listens, Your cousin listens, Your friend who still thinks HTML is a programming language starts asking if he should actually continue to learn. That’s when AI marketing became dark. They stopped selling productivity. They started selling survival. They started selling panic. They started selling “adapt or die” with a monthly plan.

在那之后，他们发现了作弊码。恐惧比功能更能推销 AI。如果你说：“这个工具能帮你工作得更快。”有些人会尝试。但如果你说：“这个工具可能会抢走你的工作。”每个人都会听。你父亲会听，你表弟会听，你那个还以为 HTML 是编程语言的朋友也会开始问他是否真的应该继续学习。那时，AI 的营销变得黑暗了。他们不再兜售生产力，他们开始兜售生存。他们开始兜售恐慌。他们开始兜售带有月度订阅计划的“适应或死亡”。

And they did not market it the same way to everyone. No. They studied generations. For people with families, bills, rent, kids, loans, and blood pressure, they used one word: “Replace”. They told them: AI is coming for your job, AI is coming for your career, AI is coming for your industry, The only way to survive is to keep the enemy close. And by “keep the enemy close,” they obviously mean: Buy our subscription. Beautiful business model. Scare the man. Sell him the thing that scared him.

他们并没有对所有人使用同样的营销方式。不，他们研究了不同世代。对于那些有家庭、账单、房租、孩子、贷款和高血压的人，他们只用了一个词：“取代”。他们告诉这些人：AI 冲着你的工作来了，AI 冲着你的职业生涯来了，AI 冲着你的行业来了，唯一的生存之道就是“把敌人留在身边”。而所谓的“把敌人留在身边”，显然是指：购买我们的订阅。多么漂亮的商业模式。吓唬一个人，然后把吓唬他的东西卖给他。

For young people, they used a different weapon: the fear of missing out and the sense of rushing everything. They told young people: There is no time, Learning is too slow, The world is moving too fast, Skip the process. Use AI and become 10x, Become inevitable, Become the main character. God forbid a young man opens documentation and suffers like his ancestors. God forbid a junior developer spends six months understanding databases instead of asking AI to build “a scalable SaaS with too much security.” They said No. Just subscribe. The path to greatness is now $20 per month and a prompt that starts with: “Think like Jeff Bezos.”

对于年轻人，他们使用了另一种武器：错失恐惧症（FOMO）和凡事求快的心理。他们告诉年轻人：没时间了，学习太慢了，世界发展太快了，跳过过程吧。使用 AI，让自己效率提升 10 倍，变得不可替代，成为主角。千万别让年轻人去翻阅文档，像他们的祖辈那样去钻研。千万别让初级开发者花六个月去理解数据库，而不是直接让 AI 去构建一个“带有过度安全防护的可扩展 SaaS”。他们说：不，直接订阅吧。通往伟大的路径现在只需要每月 20 美元，以及一个以“像杰夫·贝佐斯一样思考”开头的提示词。

And this is why the whole thing became madness. Look AI is a great invention. But it came with greed, trauma marketing, billions of dollars, and the almighty yapper Dario Amodei. Now Dario is in every interview sounding like a prophet who believes people will finally understand him after he dies. Someone should tell him he sounds like his product on a free trial. Every interview has the same energy: “Humanity may collapse, Jobs may disappear, Society may never be the same. Anyway, Claude Team Plan is available for enterprises.” Like are you warning us or onboarding us? Because at this point I don’t know if I’m listening to a safety researcher or a man doing apocalypse sales.

这就是为什么整件事变得疯狂。听着，AI 是一个伟大的发明。但它伴随着贪婪、创伤营销、数十亿美元，以及那位全能的喋喋不休者 Dario Amodei。现在 Dario 在每次采访中听起来都像个先知，认为人们在他死后终会理解他。有人应该告诉他，他听起来就像他那处于免费试用期的产品。每次采访的基调都一样：“人类可能会崩溃，工作可能会消失，社会可能再也回不到从前。总之，Claude 团队计划现已面向企业开放。”你到底是在警告我们，还是在引导我们入职？因为到了这一步，我不知道我是在听一位安全研究员说话，还是在听一个推销末日的人。

And that’s the scary part. The people selling the product got so deep into the fear that even they started believing they dictate how we live. They talk like they are holding the remote control to humanity. Like tomorrow morning Dario can wake up, drink coffee, blink twice, and 99% of jobs disappear. Like cmon humanity does not move as fast as you dream about it dario. But guess what the fear works because it touches everything people are insecure about. Their jobs, Their intelligence.

这才是最可怕的部分。那些兜售产品的人已经深陷于恐惧之中，以至于连他们自己都开始相信，他们主宰着我们的生活方式。他们说话的样子，就像手里握着人类的遥控器。仿佛明天早上 Dario 醒来，喝杯咖啡，眨两下眼睛，99% 的工作就会消失。拜托，人类的发展速度可没你梦里想的那么快，Dario。但你猜怎么着？恐惧确实有效，因为它触及了人们所有不安全感的来源：他们的工作，他们的智力。