Kalshi demands Netflix take down trailer for ‘Prediction Games’ documentary
Kalshi demands Netflix take down trailer for ‘Prediction Games’ documentary
Kalshi 要求 Netflix 下架纪录片《预测游戏》预告片
Prediction market Kalshi sent Netflix a cease-and-desist letter on Friday demanding that the streaming service take down the trailer for an upcoming documentary. In the letter, Kalshi claimed the trailer is “defamatory” and contains “both fabricated documents and false and misleading statements.” 预测市场平台 Kalshi 周五向 Netflix 发送了一封停止侵权函，要求该流媒体服务下架一部即将上映的纪录片的预告片。在信中，Kalshi 声称该预告片具有“诽谤性”，并包含“伪造的文件以及虚假和误导性的陈述”。
“Instadocs: The Prediction Games” is a documentary about the rise of prediction markets. According to Netflix, the film — part of the streamer’s “Instadoc” series of fast-turnaround documentaries — features interviews with both Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan and Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour. 《Instadocs：预测游戏》（Instadocs: The Prediction Games）是一部关于预测市场兴起的纪录片。据 Netflix 称，该片属于其“Instadoc”系列快速制作纪录片的一部分，采访了 Polymarket 首席执行官 Shayne Coplan 和 Kalshi 首席执行官 Tarek Mansour。
The trailer, however, focuses on a recent party in Las Vegas, where men who have “made millions of dollars on prediction markets, probably eight figures, just over the course of the World Cup” have gathered to watch the World Cup final. One of the guests declares, “I like betting on Kalshi,” while another shows off an apparent $5,000 bet on their phone. 然而，预告片的焦点是一场近期在拉斯维加斯举办的派对，一群在“世界杯期间通过预测市场赚取了数百万美元，甚至可能达到八位数”的人聚集在一起观看世界杯决赛。其中一位嘉宾宣称：“我喜欢在 Kalshi 上下注”，而另一位则在手机上展示了一笔看起来价值 5,000 美元的投注。
However, Kalshi is currently banned from operating in Nevada due to a court order. In its cease-and-desist letter, Kalshi said the bet shown on the phone is actually a screenshot of a bet made on May 16, 2025 — long before the ban. But the company argued that in the trailer, Netflix “misled its millions of customers into believing this individual was able to successfully trade sport event contracts in Nevada on July 19, 2026.” 然而，由于法院禁令，Kalshi 目前被禁止在内华达州运营。Kalshi 在停止侵权函中表示，手机上显示的投注实际上是 2025 年 5 月 16 日（即禁令发布前很久）所做投注的截图。但该公司辩称，Netflix 在预告片中“误导了其数百万客户，让他们相信此人能够在 2026 年 7 月 19 日在内华达州成功交易体育赛事合约”。
In its letter, Kalshi also said that it recently spoke to a Netflix employee who “agreed not to feature the receipt in the documentary when it is released” on Sunday, July 26. “However — despite Kalshi demonstrating to this employee that the claims in the video were demonstrably false — Netflix inexplicably refused to remove the receipt from the trailer currently circulating on the homepage of the Netflix app,” the company said. Kalshi 在信中还提到，他们最近与一名 Netflix 员工进行了沟通，该员工“同意在 7 月 26 日周日发布纪录片时，不将该交易凭证包含在内”。该公司表示：“然而，尽管 Kalshi 向该员工证明了视频中的说法是明显错误的，但 Netflix 却莫名其妙地拒绝从目前在 Netflix 应用首页传播的预告片中删除该凭证。”
Netflix doesn’t dispute that the screenshot is of a bet from 2025, but a spokesperson told The Hollywood Reporter that none of the documentary footage was fabricated. “The footage was filmed at the Winible World Cup Watch Weekend in Las Vegas on July 17, 2026,” the spokesperson said. “The featured trader with the trade on Spain showed us a screenshot of his bet, that was made in May 2025 prior to any Nevada court order. Any specific trades or bets referenced during that weekend are between the individual and the app in which they placed the trades.” Netflix 并不否认该截图是 2025 年的投注记录，但一位发言人告诉《好莱坞报道》，纪录片中的任何镜头都没有伪造。“这些镜头拍摄于 2026 年 7 月 17 日在拉斯维加斯举行的 Winible 世界杯观赛周末，”该发言人表示。“片中那位交易西班牙队比赛的交易员向我们展示了他的投注截图，该投注是在 2025 年 5 月、即任何内华达州法院禁令发布之前进行的。该周末期间提到的任何具体交易或投注，均属于个人与他们进行交易的应用程序之间的行为。”