What is happening to jobs? Separating AI hype from reality

就业市场发生了什么？剥离人工智能的炒作与现实

About the Authors 关于作者

Neale Mahoney is the Trione Director of SIEPR and the TG Wijaya Professor of Economics at Stanford University. He previously served as a Special Policy Advisor in the White House National Economic Council. Neale Mahoney 是斯坦福大学 SIEPR（斯坦福经济政策研究所）的 Trione 主任，也是 TG Wijaya 经济学教授。他曾担任白宫国家经济委员会的特别政策顾问。

Erika McEntarfer is a Research Scholar and Distinguished Policy Fellow at SIEPR. She served as Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics until August 2025 and, before that, was a Senior Economist in the White House Council of Economic Advisers. Erika McEntarfer 是 SIEPR 的研究学者和杰出政策研究员。她曾担任美国劳工统计局局长至 2025 年 8 月，在此之前，她曾任白宫经济顾问委员会的高级经济学家。

Karsen Wahal is a researcher at SIEPR. He recently graduated from Stanford with a B.A. (with honors) in economics, a B.S. in mathematics and an M.S. in computer science. His primary research interests are in the economics of AI, particularly through the lenses of labor economics, economic growth, market design, and political economy. Karsen Wahal 是 SIEPR 的研究员。他最近毕业于斯坦福大学，获得了经济学学士学位（荣誉）、数学理学学士学位和计算机科学硕士学位。他的主要研究兴趣是人工智能经济学，特别是从劳动经济学、经济增长、市场设计和政治经济学的视角进行研究。

Publication 出版物

Economic Policy Analysis and the Internet: Coming to Terms with a Telecommunications Anomaly (Working Paper) 《经济政策分析与互联网：应对电信异常现象》（工作论文）

Publication: Was an Industrial Revolution Inevitable? Economic Growth Over the Very Long Run (Working Paper) 出版物：《工业革命是不可避免的吗？超长期视角下的经济增长》（工作论文）

Publication: Madison’s Missing Branch (Working Paper, Politics and Media) 出版物：《麦迪逊缺失的分支》（工作论文，政治与媒体）