This Is Donald Trump’s AI Brain Trust
This Is Donald Trump’s AI Brain Trust
这就是唐纳德·特朗普的 AI 智囊团
As China’s open-weight AI models become increasingly powerful, the Trump administration is relying on a small group of officials to decide whether and what restrictions should be imposed. 随着中国的开源权重 AI 模型日益强大,特朗普政府正依靠一小群官员来决定是否以及实施何种限制措施。
The group is scattered across several departments and agencies in Washington—and they all have differing views on the best way to keep the US ahead in the race against China. 这个群体分散在华盛顿的多个部门和机构中,对于如何在与中国的竞争中保持美国领先地位,他们各持己见。
“It’s not an argument with two sides, it’s an argument with ten sides,” one senior White House official tells WIRED about the state of affairs. “这不仅仅是两派之间的争论,而是十派之间的争论,”一位白宫高级官员在谈到当前局势时告诉《连线》(WIRED)。
With little interagency coordination in the administration, policy will almost certainly end up being set by the people with the most influence with the president. In an effort to map the forces at play, here’s a list of the current power brokers involved in the race to regulate AI. 由于政府内部缺乏跨部门协调,政策几乎肯定会由那些对总统最有影响力的人来决定。为了梳理当前的博弈力量,以下是参与 AI 监管竞赛的现任权力掮客名单。
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick
商务部长霍华德·卢特尼克 (Howard Lutnick)
Howard Lutnick has increasingly emerged as an influential part of the intra-administration split over AI, in part because it oversees export controls through the Bureau of Industry and Security. 霍华德·卢特尼克已逐渐成为政府内部 AI 分歧中的关键人物,部分原因是他通过工业与安全局(BIS)监管出口管制。
Lutnick, according to people familiar, has contemplated ways to create incentives for top US labs to create their own open-weight models to counterbalance China, and he has spoken with leaders at a number of AI labs. 据知情人士透露,卢特尼克一直在考虑如何激励美国顶级实验室开发自己的开源权重模型以抗衡中国,并已与多家 AI 实验室的领导人进行了沟通。
On Thursday, Lutnick played down the capabilities of Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model, writing in an X post that his team found it performed worse than leading US frontier models in key benchmark tests. 周四,卢特尼克淡化了月之暗面(Moonshot AI)Kimi K3 模型的能力,他在 X 上发文称,他的团队发现该模型在关键基准测试中的表现不如美国领先的前沿模型。
Lutnick appears to be straddling a middle ground on regulation. He imposed export controls on Anthropic to bring them to heel—but has been more freewheeling than others in the White House. 卢特尼克在监管问题上似乎采取了折中立场。他曾对 Anthropic 实施出口管制以使其就范,但在白宫内部,他比其他人表现得更为自由。
Arvind Raman, Acting Director, CAISI
CAISI 代理主任阿尔文德·拉曼 (Arvind Raman)
Arvind Raman has become Lutnick’s top deputy as the acting chief at the Center for AI Standards and Innovation, which sits inside the Commerce Department and serves as the industry’s primary point of contact with the government. 阿尔文德·拉曼已成为卢特尼克在人工智能标准与创新中心(CAISI)的首席副手,担任代理主任。该中心隶属于商务部,是行业与政府沟通的主要联络点。
He assumed the job last week after his predecessor, Chris Fall, abruptly resigned after spending weeks trying to get Anthropic to add stronger safeguards to prevent jailbreaks of its most powerful Fable 5 model. 他于上周接任该职位,此前他的前任克里斯·法尔(Chris Fall)在花费数周试图让 Anthropic 增加更强有力的防护措施以防止其最强大的 Fable 5 模型被“越狱”后,突然辞职。
CAISI staff were in meetings with Anthropic’s technical teams for weeks as both sides hammered out new safeguards that were deemed strong enough for Fable 5 to be brought back online, WIRED previously reported. 据《连线》此前报道,CAISI 工作人员曾与 Anthropic 的技术团队进行了数周的会议,双方共同制定了新的防护措施,这些措施被认为足够强大,足以让 Fable 5 重新上线。
National Cyber Director Sean Cairncross
国家网络总监肖恩·凯恩克罗斯 (Sean Cairncross)
Sean Cairncross has taken a more hardline approach towards Chinese AI labs. 肖恩·凯恩克罗斯对中国 AI 实验室采取了更为强硬的态度。
Cairncross has an outsized role in potential attempts to regulate Chinese AI, and he is empowered at the White House to develop a policy to counter the potential national security risks of AI. He helped put together President Donald Trump’s June 2 executive order that laid out a framework to assess the most powerful AI models. 凯恩克罗斯在监管中国 AI 的潜在尝试中发挥了巨大作用,他被白宫授权制定政策以应对 AI 带来的潜在国家安全风险。他协助起草了唐纳德·特朗普总统 6 月 2 日签署的行政命令,该命令为评估最强大的 AI 模型制定了框架。
A former political campaign lawyer who most recently was at the Republican National Committee, Cairncross lacks any tech or AI experience. 作为一名前竞选律师,最近曾在共和党全国委员会工作,凯恩克罗斯缺乏任何技术或 AI 经验。
But current and former staff credit him with trying to grapple with the hard national security problems posed by AI, and allowing his staff to work without micromanaging every problem in a manner a tech software engineer might. 但现任和前任员工认为,他努力应对 AI 带来的严峻国家安全问题,并允许员工开展工作,而不会像软件工程师那样对每个问题进行微观管理。
In particular, Cairncross and his chief of staff, Lara Smith, have been focused on curbing Chinese labs from training their models off the backs of top US models in a practice called distillation. 特别是,凯恩克罗斯和他的幕僚长拉拉·史密斯(Lara Smith)一直专注于阻止中国实验室通过一种称为“蒸馏”(distillation)的做法,利用美国顶级模型来训练自己的模型。
In response to a request for comment, White House spokesperson Elizabeth Huston says that the administration’s deliberations on Chinese AI are centered on trying to bolster US AI. 在回应置评请求时,白宫发言人伊丽莎白·休斯顿(Elizabeth Huston)表示,政府对中国 AI 的审议重点在于努力加强美国的 AI 能力。
“The United States leads the world in AI innovation, and President Trump will keep it that way. The Trump Administration is doubling down on innovation to widen the gap between America and the rest of the world,” says Huston. “美国在 AI 创新方面处于世界领先地位,特朗普总统将保持这一地位。特朗普政府正在加倍投入创新,以扩大美国与世界其他地区之间的差距,”休斯顿说。
Former AI Czar David Sacks
前 AI 沙皇大卫·萨克斯 (David Sacks)
Tech investor David Sacks has remained one of the most influential advisers on AI for Trump, maintaining a direct line to the president even after he departed his role as AI czar in March. 科技投资者大卫·萨克斯仍然是特朗普在 AI 领域最有影响力的顾问之一,即使在 3 月份卸任 AI 沙皇一职后,他仍与总统保持着直接联系。
Sacks has been ardent about keeping a hands-off approach for all AI, successfully intervening at the last minute to water down some of the regulatory provisions in the June 2 executive order. 萨克斯一直热衷于对所有 AI 采取不干预政策,并成功在最后一刻进行干预,淡化了 6 月 2 日行政命令中的一些监管条款。
He has been consistent with his more laissez-faire approach to Chinese open-weight AI models as well, using his X account with 1.6 million followers to influence the administration from the outside. 他对中国开源权重 AI 模型也保持着一贯的自由放任态度,利用他拥有 160 万粉丝的 X 账号从外部影响政府。
“Secretary Howard Lutnick is right. The Kimi Panic needs to stop. American frontier models are still ahead. When you factor in what’s in the lab, the gap is even larger. As long as we keep releasing, we will stay ahead,” Sacks wrote in an X post on July 23 that had nearly 500,000 views. “霍华德·卢特尼克部长是对的。Kimi 恐慌必须停止。美国的前沿模型仍然领先。当你考虑到实验室里的成果时,差距甚至更大。只要我们继续发布,我们就会保持领先,”萨克斯在 7 月 23 日的一篇 X 推文中写道,该推文获得了近 50 万次浏览。
White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles
白宫幕僚长苏西·怀尔斯 (Susie Wiles)
As Trump’s top political aide in the process, Susie Wiles has been vetting and scrutinizing policy proposals from all sides before they reach the Oval Office. 作为特朗普在此过程中的首席政治助手,苏西·怀尔斯一直在对各方的政策提案进行审查和核实,然后再提交给椭圆形办公室。
Treasury secretary Scott Bessent has been taking his department’s positions directly to Wiles, as have Lutnick and Cairncross. Like on other administration issues, Wiles’ decision invariably ends up being final. 财政部长斯科特·贝森特(Scott Bessent)一直将他部门的立场直接提交给怀尔斯,卢特尼克和凯恩克罗斯也是如此。与其他政府事务一样,怀尔斯的决定最终总是具有决定性的。
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent
财政部长斯科特·贝森特 (Scott Bessent)
As the top Trump official in charge of US-China trade relations, Scott Bessent has adopted perhaps the most aggressive stance towards Chinese AI and efforts to distill US models. 作为负责美中贸易关系的特朗普政府最高官员,斯科特·贝森特对中国 AI 以及通过“蒸馏”手段获取美国模型的行为采取了或许是最激进的立场。
In a post on X last week, Bessent repudiated distillation as “IP theft” and threatened Chinese labs with sanctions or inclusion on the Entity List, a trade-restriction list maintained by the US government. 在上周的一篇 X 推文中,贝森特谴责“蒸馏”是“知识产权盗窃”,并威胁要对中国实验室实施制裁,或将其列入美国政府维护的贸易限制名单——实体清单。
After playing virtually no role in restricting Anthropic last month, Bessent has stepped up his involvement in AI policy ahead of Chinese president Xi Jinping’s visit to the White House in September and an APEC summit in November. 在上个月几乎没有参与限制 Anthropic 的行动后,贝森特在 9 月份中国国家主席习近平访问白宫以及 11 月份的 APEC 峰会之前,加强了他对 AI 政策的参与度。
Bessent has told Wiles and… 贝森特已告知怀尔斯以及……