It Looks Like Nothing Can Dent MAGA’s Support for ICE
It Looks Like Nothing Can Dent MAGA’s Support for ICE
看起来没有什么能动摇“让美国再次伟大”（MAGA）群体对美国移民及海关执法局（ICE）的支持
On Tuesday, the day after hundreds of thousands of Haitian migrants effectively lost their temporary protected status that allowed them to live and work in the US, Republican pundit Steve Bannon wasted little time in demanding their instant removal. 周二，数十万海地移民失去了允许他们在美居住和工作的临时保护身份（TPS）。就在这一天之后，共和党评论员史蒂夫·班农（Steve Bannon）迅速要求立即将他们驱逐出境。
“I was under the assumption that when they pulled TPS and their eligibility for that program ended … they were going to be boarding planes or buses today … today, this morning at dawn to go back to Haiti,” said Bannon, a longtime ally of President Donald Trump, on his War Room podcast on Tuesday. “Why are they not out of the country?” “我原本以为，当他们取消TPS且这些人的项目资格结束后……他们今天就应该登上飞机或巴士……就在今天，今天清晨，返回海地，”特朗普总统的长期盟友班农周二在他的播客节目《战情室》（War Room）中说道，“为什么他们还没有离开这个国家？”
Mike Davis, a conservative political strategist agreed with Bannon: “The solution is to get these people the hell out of our country as fast as possible, and that includes these Haitians.” 保守派政治策略师迈克·戴维斯（Mike Davis）对此表示赞同：“解决办法就是尽快把这些人从我们的国家赶出去，这当然也包括这些海地人。”
White nationalist Nick Fuentes, who has been a vocal critic of Trump’s deportation policies because he doesn’t find them extreme enough, called Haitians “the worst of the worst” and “very low IQ people” on his Rumble show Tuesday night. 白人至上主义者尼克·富恩特斯（Nick Fuentes）一直公开批评特朗普的驱逐政策，认为其不够极端。他在周二晚上的Rumble节目中称海地人是“最糟糕中的最糟糕”，并称他们是“智商极低的人”。
In a Telegram channel run by the Proud Boys of Columbus, one member posted a clip of the song “I’m Walking on Sunshine” alongside the news about the revoking of temporary protected status. “They gotta go back,” the member wrote. 在“骄傲男孩”（Proud Boys）哥伦布分部运营的一个Telegram频道中，一名成员发布了一段歌曲《I’m Walking on Sunshine》的片段，并附上了关于撤销临时保护身份的新闻。该成员写道：“他们必须回去。”
It’s been a while since shock-and-awe tactics from Immigration and Customs Enforcement first gained national notoriety. For months, figures like former Border Patrol leader Greg Bovino terrorized cities like Minneapolis and Chicago. But since replacing former Department of Homeland Security secretary Kristi Noem with Markwayne Mullin—derisively referred to by Bannon as the “Kung fu plumber”—ICE’s operations have shrunk into the shadows, though the agency’s deportation and arrest numbers have remained astronomical. 美国移民及海关执法局（ICE）的“震慑”战术引起全国公愤已有一段时间了。几个月来，像前边境巡逻队负责人格雷格·博维诺（Greg Bovino）这样的人物在明尼阿波利斯和芝加哥等城市制造了恐慌。但自从马克韦恩·穆林（Markwayne Mullin）接替克里斯蒂·诺姆（Kristi Noem）担任国土安全部部长以来——班农嘲讽穆林为“功夫水管工”——ICE的行动已转入暗处，尽管该机构的驱逐和逮捕人数依然高得惊人。
In recent weeks, things are boiling over again. Earlier this month, an ICE agent shot and killed Lorenzo Salgado Araujo in Houston, Texas. Araujo had lived in the country for 35 years, had three children, and owned his own business. Just days later, another ICE agent killed Johan Sebastián Durán Guerrero in Biddeford, Maine. Both men were shot while in their vehicles. 近几周，局势再次升温。本月初，一名ICE特工在德克萨斯州休斯顿开枪打死了洛伦佐·萨尔加多·阿劳霍（Lorenzo Salgado Araujo）。阿劳霍已在美国居住了35年，有三个孩子，并拥有自己的生意。仅仅几天后，另一名ICE特工在缅因州比迪福德杀害了约翰·塞巴斯蒂安·杜兰·格雷罗（Johan Sebastián Durán Guerrero）。两人都是在车内被枪杀的。
ICE, as WIRED has revealed, is also tracking its critics online, using data brokers to “identify unaccompanied minors,” and working to prevent state health inspectors from reviewing its network of detention centers. On Tuesday, The New York Times reported that the Trump administration was now targeting immigrants at airports whose visas have expired, or are in a transition status, arresting spouses of American citizens. 正如《连线》（WIRED）所披露的，ICE还在网上追踪其批评者，利用数据经纪人“识别无人陪伴的未成年人”，并试图阻止州卫生检查员审查其拘留中心网络。周二，《纽约时报》报道称，特朗普政府目前正在机场针对签证过期或处于过渡状态的移民，甚至逮捕美国公民的配偶。
Even so, Steve Bannon and the other Republican pundits aren’t alone: Support for ICE among Trump’s most loyal supporters remains incredibly high, with 74 percent of people who identify as MAGA Republicans professing confidence in ICE, according to a YouGov poll published last week. The same poll shows that 80 percent of MAGA Republicans oppose abolishing ICE. 即便如此，史蒂夫·班农和其他共和党评论员并不孤单：根据上周发布的一项YouGov民调显示，在特朗普最忠诚的支持者中，对ICE的支持率依然极高，74%自认为是“MAGA共和党人”的受访者表示信任ICE。同一项民调还显示，80%的MAGA共和党人反对废除ICE。
The YouGov findings were backed up by another poll published last week by the Public Religion Research Institute, which found that three-quarters of Republicans had a positive view of ICE, would be in favor of more funding for the agency, and disagreed that ICE was making communities less safe. The poll also found that 73 percent of Republicans are in support of internment camps to hold “immigrants who are in the country illegally” until they can be deported. YouGov的调查结果得到了公共宗教研究所（PRRI）上周发布的另一项民调的支持。该民调发现，四分之三的共和党人对ICE持正面看法，支持为该机构提供更多资金，并不同意“ICE使社区变得不安全”的说法。民调还发现，73%的共和党人支持建立拘留营，以关押“非法居留的移民”，直到他们被驱逐出境。
The YouGov poll also found that just 51 percent of Republicans had, in the week of the shootings, read, seen, or heard anything about immigrants being shot and killed by ICE agents. What they may have seen however is Trump’s Truth Social post around the same time. In the post, Trump appeared to overrule an internal ICE memo telling agents to suspend vehicle stops, after a furious response from his MAGA base. He also told his supporters that ICE was “loved and respected in America.” YouGov的民调还发现，在枪击事件发生的那一周，只有51%的共和党人阅读、看到或听说过有关移民被ICE特工枪杀的消息。然而，他们可能看到的是特朗普在大约同一时间在“真实社交”（Truth Social）上发布的帖子。在帖子中，特朗普似乎推翻了ICE内部要求特工暂停车辆拦截的备忘录，此前他的MAGA基本盘对此反应强烈。他还告诉支持者，ICE在“美国受到爱戴和尊重”。
Much of his base thinks that deportations are actually not happening fast enough. ICE is on track to deport 458,000 individuals this year according to its own data, a colossal figure that still falls well short of the 1 million deportations Trump promised shortly after his inauguration. (This, in the words of border czar Tom Homan, is what the administration calls “deportation-maxxing.”) 他的大部分支持者认为驱逐行动实际上还不够快。根据ICE自己的数据，今年预计将驱逐45.8万人，这是一个巨大的数字，但仍远未达到特朗普在就职后不久承诺的100万人。用“边境沙皇”汤姆·霍曼（Tom Homan）的话说，这就是政府所谓的“驱逐最大化”。
Americans have been caught in the dragnet as well, as ICE’s actions have resulted in widespread civil rights violations, according to a report published this month by the American Civil Liberties Union, which found that across eight states, ICE agents targeted 155 US citizens, 32 of whom were children, during the first year of Trump’s second term. Previous research from UC Berkeley found that half of all the people ICE has arrested had no criminal records, despite the administration claiming to be deporting the “worst of the worst.” Federal agents have shot and killed four people, including two US citizens. 美国公民也卷入了这场搜捕行动。根据美国公民自由联盟（ACLU）本月发布的一份报告，ICE的行动导致了广泛的民权侵犯。报告发现，在特朗普第二个任期的第一年里，ICE特工在八个州针对了155名美国公民，其中32人是儿童。加州大学伯克利分校此前的研究发现，尽管政府声称要驱逐“最糟糕的人”，但ICE逮捕的所有人中有一半没有犯罪记录。联邦特工已枪杀四人，其中包括两名美国公民。
On the other hand, the majority of Americans believe ICE has used too much force, according to YouGov, and as a result have little or no confidence in the agency. Almost half of Americans believe it’s time for ICE to be abolished. 另一方面，根据YouGov的数据，大多数美国人认为ICE使用了过度的武力，因此对该机构几乎没有信心。近一半的美国人认为现在是废除ICE的时候了。
What these polls show is that while America as a whole is rejecting Trump’s immigration policies, his base is almost completely supportive. And rather than distancing themselves from ICE’s actions, Republicans seem to be leaning in again, even spending more money and running more ads about immigration than Democrats, NPR reported last week. 这些民调显示，尽管美国整体上在拒绝特朗普的移民政策，但他的基本盘却几乎完全支持。据美国国家公共电台（NPR）上周报道，共和党人似乎并没有与ICE的行动保持距离，反而再次加码，在移民问题上的广告投入和支出甚至超过了民主党。
With just months left before the midterms offer voters a chance to have their say on these policies, Republicans are gambling that their base doesn’t actually want ICE going anywhere. In November, the country will see if they’re right. 距离中期选举仅剩几个月，选民将有机会对这些政策发表意见。共和党人正在赌他们的基本盘并不希望ICE消失。到了十一月，全国将见证他们是否赌对了。
This is an edition of Hugo Lowell’s Inner Loop newsletter. Read previous newsletters here. 这是雨果·洛厄尔（Hugo Lowell）的《Inner Loop》通讯。点击此处阅读往期通讯。