George Santos Just Got Hit With Kalshi’s First-Ever Lifetime Ban
George Santos Just Got Hit With Kalshi’s First-Ever Lifetime Ban
乔治·桑托斯（George Santos）遭预测市场平台 Kalshi 终身封禁
Former Republican congressman George Santos has received a first-of-its-kind lifetime ban from the prediction market platform Kalshi, which has also fined him $71,356 for violating its rules around insider trading and market manipulation. 前共和党国会议员乔治·桑托斯（George Santos）遭到了预测市场平台 Kalshi 史无前例的终身封禁，并因违反内幕交易和市场操纵相关规则被处以 71,356 美元的罚款。
According to the notice of disciplinary action Kalshi posted today, the former politician placed trades in markets related to whether he would attend President Trump’s State of the Union address in February 2026. He then “began making a series of public statements regarding his attendance at the event in an attempt to influence the price” of certain contracts, some of which were “false or misleading,” per the notice. 根据 Kalshi 今天发布的纪律处分通知，这位前政客在与他是否会出席特朗普总统 2026 年 2 月国情咨文演讲相关的市场上进行了交易。通知称，随后他“开始就自己是否出席该活动发表了一系列公开声明，试图影响”某些合约的价格，其中一些声明是“虚假或误导性的”。
The day before the address, Santos posted, “I’m going to be there for the State of Union in the gallery, guys” on X. During the speech, he sent a follow-up noting that he was actually at an airport watching the address on television. “FML,” he wrote. 在演讲前一天，桑托斯在 X 上发帖称：“伙计们，我会在国情咨文演讲的看台上。”在演讲期间，他又发了一条后续消息，称自己实际上是在机场通过电视观看演讲。“真倒霉（FML），”他写道。
Kalshi’s enforcement team flagged the trades, froze Santos’ account, and referred the case to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the federal agency that oversees prediction markets. This summer, Santos settled with the CFTC for $35,000 over these suspicious trades; a little more than $17,500 was returning the profit he made, with an additional $17,500 fine. At the time, his lawyer issued a statement stressing that Santos settled to “put this matter behind him” and that he had done so “without admitting the Commission’s allegations, findings or conclusions.” Kalshi 的执法团队标记了这些交易，冻结了桑托斯的账户，并将此案移交给了负责监管预测市场的联邦机构——商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）。今年夏天，桑托斯就这些可疑交易与 CFTC 达成和解，支付了 35,000 美元；其中 17,500 多美元用于退还他获得的利润，另外 17,500 美元为罚款。当时，他的律师发表声明强调，桑托斯达成和解是为了“将此事抛在脑后”，并且他这样做是“在不承认委员会的指控、调查结果或结论的情况下”进行的。
Through his legal representative, Santos declined to comment to WIRED. On social media, however, he had already weighed in, sarcastically thanking Kalshi “for the lifetime ban from your gambling platform,” adding, “Let’s see how much longer you guys are around for 💋,” a nod to the prediction market’s ongoing battles with state authorities over how it is regulated. 桑托斯通过其法律代表拒绝向《连线》（WIRED）杂志置评。然而，他在社交媒体上已经发表了看法，讽刺地感谢 Kalshi “将我从你们的赌博平台终身封禁”，并补充道：“看看你们还能撑多久 💋”，这暗指该预测市场与州政府在监管方式上持续不断的斗争。
Once upon a time, Santos had a rosier relationship with the industry; he was once paid for promoting Kalshi’s rival Polymarket, but Polymarket severed ties with him once federal regulators began looking into his behavior around February’s State of the Union address. 曾几何时，桑托斯与该行业的关系更为融洽；他曾因推广 Kalshi 的竞争对手 Polymarket 而获得报酬，但当联邦监管机构开始调查他在 2 月份国情咨文演讲期间的行为时，Polymarket 便与他断绝了关系。
This is far from Santos’ first brush with the law. He was expelled from Congress following an ethics investigation in 2023 and eventually pleaded guilty and served time in federal prison for embezzling from campaign donors, lying to Congress, and defrauding campaign contributors. He was released from prison in 2025 after President Trump commuted his sentence. 这远非桑托斯第一次触犯法律。他在 2023 年因道德调查被逐出国会，最终因挪用竞选捐款、向国会撒谎以及欺诈竞选捐款人而认罪并入狱服刑。在特朗普总统为其减刑后，他于 2025 年获释。
According to today’s notice, the prediction market found that Santos successfully influenced the pricing of several markets. Kalshi also issued four additional notices of enforcement actions today, but Santos was the only person penalized who had not settled with the company. 根据今天的通知，该预测市场发现桑托斯成功影响了多个市场的定价。Kalshi 今天还发布了另外四份执法行动通知，但桑托斯是唯一一个未与公司达成和解而被处罚的人。
“He wouldn’t talk to us and actively dodged us,” Kalshi spokesperson Elisabeth Diana tells WIRED. “他不愿与我们沟通，并积极回避我们，”Kalshi 发言人伊丽莎白·戴安娜（Elisabeth Diana）告诉《连线》。
In the past year, Kalshi has issued a number of other enforcement actions against politicians whom it found had broken its rules. In this most recent round of enforcement actions, it fined North Carolina congressional candidate Laurie Buckhout, California gubernatorial candidate Stephen Cloobeck, and Maine gubernatorial candidate Ben Midgley for attempting to trade on contracts related to their races; they are all temporarily suspended. 在过去的一年里，Kalshi 对其他被发现违反其规则的政客采取了一系列执法行动。在最近一轮执法行动中，它对北卡罗来纳州国会候选人劳里·巴克豪特（Laurie Buckhout）、加利福尼亚州州长候选人斯蒂芬·克鲁贝克（Stephen Cloobeck）和缅因州州长候选人本·米德利（Ben Midgley）进行了罚款，原因是他们试图交易与各自竞选相关的合约；他们都被暂时停职。
“I bet on myself. Literally. It was a dumb mistake, and as soon as I learned there was an issue, I worked to make it right,” Buckhout, a retired military officer, told WIRED in an email. “Safe to say my career as a Kalshi trader was short-lived.” Cloobeck and Midgley did not immediately respond to WIRED’s request for comment. “我押注了自己。字面意思。这是一个愚蠢的错误，当我得知有问题时，我努力去纠正它，”退役军官巴克豪特在给《连线》的电子邮件中说道。“可以肯定地说，我的 Kalshi 交易员生涯是短暂的。”克鲁贝克和米德利没有立即回应《连线》的置评请求。
Previously, Kalshi fined US Senate candidate Mark Moran for insider trading; at the time, Moran told WIRED that he “did it on purpose” and did not intend to cooperate with Kalshi. 此前，Kalshi 曾因内幕交易对美国参议院候选人马克·莫兰（Mark Moran）处以罚款；当时，莫兰告诉《连线》，他是“故意这样做的”，并且不打算与 Kalshi 合作。
Kalshi’s Diana says that Santos can expect “legal action” if he does not pay. Kalshi 的戴安娜表示，如果桑托斯不支付罚款，他将面临“法律诉讼”。
Updated August 31, 2026, 4:40 pm EDT: This story was updated to correct the spelling of Stephen Cloobeck’s name. 更新于美国东部时间 2026 年 8 月 31 日下午 4:40：本文已更新，更正了斯蒂芬·克鲁贝克（Stephen Cloobeck）名字的拼写。