Prediction Market Betting Is Getting People Banned and Arrested
Prediction Market Betting Is Getting People Banned and Arrested
预测市场博彩导致用户被封禁与逮捕
Uncanny Valley is back! This week, senior writer Kate Knibbs joins Brian Barrett, Zoë Schiffer, and Leah Feiger to discuss the two incidents that have been making noise in prediction markets: George Santos getting lifetime ban from Kalshi and a Google engineer’s Polymarket insider-trading case. Plus, reporters reverse-engineered Flock’s AI-powered person-search tool and spoke to experts about the accuracy of such technology, and the hosts unpack the online meltdown over how to talk about “rogue” AI agents.
《Uncanny Valley》播客回归了！本周，资深撰稿人 Kate Knibbs 与 Brian Barrett、Zoë Schiffer 和 Leah Feiger 一起讨论了预测市场中引发热议的两起事件：乔治·桑托斯（George Santos）被 Kalshi 平台永久封禁，以及一名谷歌工程师涉及 Polymarket 的内幕交易案。此外，记者们逆向工程了 Flock 的人工智能人员搜索工具，并采访了专家探讨该技术的准确性；主持人还深入剖析了网络上关于如何讨论“流氓”AI 代理的激烈争论。
Leah Feiger: Hey guys, so nice to be back after our two-week summer break. Leah Feiger： 嘿大家，很高兴在两周的暑假后回归。
Zoë Schiffer: Longer for me. It’s so nice to see you guys. Zoë Schiffer： 对我来说时间更长。很高兴见到你们。
Leah Feiger: I missed you. Leah Feiger： 我想你们了。
Zoë Schiffer: I missed you. Zoë Schiffer： 我也想你们。
Leah Feiger: Brian, don’t worry. We missed you too. Leah Feiger： Brian，别担心，我们也想你。
Brian Barrett: I assumed that the you was for all of us. Brian Barrett： 我还以为那个“你们”是指我们所有人。
Zoë Schiffer: It was the royal you. Zoë Schiffer： 那是“皇家复数”的你们。
Brian Barrett: But now that you’ve carved me out, that’s telling. Thank you. Brian Barrett： 但既然你特意把我排除在外，这说明了问题。谢谢。
Zoë Schiffer: Welcome to WIRED’s Uncanny Valley. I’m Zoë Schiffer, contributing editor. Zoë Schiffer： 欢迎收听《连线》（WIRED）的《Uncanny Valley》。我是特约编辑 Zoë Schiffer。
Brian Barrett: I’m Brian Barrett, executive editor. Brian Barrett： 我是执行编辑 Brian Barrett。
Leah Feiger: And I’m Leah Feiger, director of politics and science. This week we’re discussing some recent high profile incidents in prediction markets. Former US representative George Santos was the first person to be given a lifetime ban from Kalshi, and a Google engineer was accused of insider trading at Polymarket. We’ll get into why both of these cases show that there are still plenty of blurry rules when it comes to prediction markets. Leah Feiger： 我是政治与科学总监 Leah Feiger。本周我们将讨论预测市场中最近发生的几起高调事件。前美国众议员乔治·桑托斯成为首位被 Kalshi 永久封禁的人，而一名谷歌工程师则被指控在 Polymarket 进行内幕交易。我们将深入探讨为什么这两个案例都表明，在预测市场领域，规则依然存在许多模糊地带。
Brian Barrett: We’ll also check in on perhaps the most hated tech in the US at the moment, maybe a runner-up to data centers, Flock surveillance cameras. This week, WIRED reporters were able to recreate Flock’s AI powered search tool, the same one that has a track record of being misused by police officers. We’re going to break down how it works, and whether the backlash against Flock cameras might have reached its boiling point. Brian Barrett： 我们还将关注目前美国最令人讨厌的技术之一——或许仅次于数据中心——那就是 Flock 监控摄像头。本周，《连线》记者成功复刻了 Flock 的 AI 驱动搜索工具，该工具曾有被警察滥用的记录。我们将剖析它的工作原理，以及针对 Flock 摄像头的抵制情绪是否已经达到了临界点。
Zoë Schiffer: And because I simply cannot help myself, we will also be getting into why tech bros on X are melting down over how to discuss rogue AI agents and what happens when they jump their guardrails and coordinate attacks on other systems. Zoë Schiffer： 而且因为我实在忍不住，我们还将讨论为什么 X 平台上的科技圈人士会因为如何讨论“流氓”AI 代理而陷入崩溃，以及当它们突破安全护栏并协调对其他系统发起攻击时会发生什么。