Senators ban themselves from prediction markets after candidates bet on own races
Senators ban themselves from prediction markets after candidates bet on own races
美国参议员禁止自身参与预测市场，此前有候选人押注自己的选情
US senators voted unanimously to ban themselves from making bets on prediction markets yesterday, about a week after Kalshi said it caught three congressional candidates betting on their own campaigns. 美国参议员昨日投票一致通过，禁止自身在预测市场进行投注。此前约一周，预测平台 Kalshi 表示发现有三名国会候选人押注了自己的竞选活动。
The resolution to prohibit senators from trading on prediction markets passed yesterday by unanimous consent. The action amends the Senate’s conflict-of-interest rules and does not require approval by the House of Representatives. The House has a pending resolution that would impose a similar rule on its own members. 这项禁止参议员在预测市场进行交易的决议于昨日通过一致同意程序获得通过。此举修订了参议院的利益冲突规则，无需众议院批准。众议院目前也有一项待决决议，旨在对其成员实施类似的规则。
“United States Senators have no business engaging in speculative activities like prediction markets while collecting a taxpayer-funded paycheck, period,” said Sen. Bernie Moreno (R-Ohio), who introduced the resolution. “Serving in Congress should never be about finding new ways to profit; it should be about delivering results for the American people.” “美国参议员在领取纳税人支付的薪水时，绝不应该参与像预测市场这样的投机活动，”提出该决议的参议员伯尼·莫雷诺（俄亥俄州共和党籍）表示。“在国会任职绝不应该是为了寻找新的获利途径；而应该是为了给美国人民带来成果。”
Moreno’s resolution applies broadly to all bets on prediction markets, not just those related to events of which a senator has inside knowledge. The Senate also adopted an amendment submitted by Sen. Alex Padilla (D-Calif.), which extends the trading ban to Senate officers and employees. Padilla said in a statement that the rule as amended “is a commonsense step to ensure that senators and their staff cannot use their positions of public trust to line their own pockets.” 莫雷诺的决议广泛适用于所有在预测市场上的投注，而不仅仅是那些参议员拥有内幕消息的事件。参议院还采纳了参议员亚历克斯·帕迪利亚（加利福尼亚州民主党籍）提交的一项修正案，将交易禁令扩大到参议院官员和雇员。帕迪利亚在声明中表示，修订后的规则“是一项常识性举措，旨在确保参议员及其工作人员不能利用其公共信托职位来中饱私囊。”
Senate ethics rules are enforced by the Senate Ethics Committee, but the Senate’s enforcement process has been described as being much less effective than the House equivalent. 参议院道德规则由参议院道德委员会执行，但参议院的执行程序被认为远不如众议院的同类程序有效。
Democrat wants bill targeting Trump admin corruption
民主党人寻求针对特朗普政府腐败的法案
Padilla also said he is pushing “for legislation to rein in Trump administration officials who may be profiting off insider knowledge, including military operations.” A US Army soldier was recently arrested for insider trading after being accused of making prediction-market wagers on the timing of the military’s capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. 帕迪利亚还表示，他正在推动“立法以约束那些可能利用内幕消息（包括军事行动）获利的特朗普政府官员。”最近，一名美国陆军士兵因被指控在预测市场上就美军抓捕委内瑞拉总统尼古拉斯·马杜罗的时间进行押注，而因内幕交易被捕。
“Politicians betting on their own races, massive wagers placed moments before the president announced of a ceasefire in Iran, and suspected insider trading before the capture of Nicolás Maduro—these are just a few examples of the blatant, brazen corruption that we’ve seen playing out on prediction markets,” Padilla said. “政客押注自己的选情、在总统宣布伊朗停火前夕进行的大额投注，以及在抓捕尼古拉斯·马杜罗之前的疑似内幕交易——这些只是我们在预测市场上看到的公然、无耻腐败的几个例子，”帕迪利亚说道。
Padilla added, “This resolution alone will not address the growing public outrage over the unprecedented scale of corruption under the Trump administration.” 帕迪利亚补充道：“仅凭这项决议无法解决公众对特朗普政府下前所未有的腐败规模日益增长的愤怒。”
Major prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi both have Donald Trump Jr. as an advisor, and a Trump Jr.-backed venture capital firm invested in Polymarket. Kalshi and Polymarket both said they support the Senate resolution and that they already banned such trading in their platform rules. Kalshi last week announced enforcement actions against two House candidates and one Senate candidate who bet on their campaigns. 主要预测市场 Polymarket 和 Kalshi 均聘请小唐纳德·特朗普担任顾问，且一家由小特朗普支持的风险投资公司投资了 Polymarket。Kalshi 和 Polymarket 均表示支持参议院的决议，并称其平台规则中已禁止此类交易。Kalshi 上周宣布对两名众议院候选人和一名参议院候选人采取了执法行动，原因是他们押注了自己的竞选活动。
Kalshi fines candidates
Kalshi 对候选人处以罚款
Kalshi has an extensive rulebook that allows it to impose fines, bans, and suspensions on traders. Two of the three candidates agreed to settlements with Kalshi. Democrat Matt Klein, a House candidate in Minnesota, agreed to a five-year suspension and fine of $539.85. Republican Ezekiel Enriquez, a House candidate in Texas who lost in the primary, agreed to a five-year suspension and $784.20 fine. Kalshi 拥有一本详尽的规则手册，允许其对交易者处以罚款、禁令和停权处罚。三名候选人中有两人与 Kalshi 达成了和解。明尼苏达州众议院候选人、民主党人马特·克莱恩同意接受五年停权和 539.85 美元的罚款。在初选中落败的德克萨斯州众议院候选人、共和党人以西结·恩里克斯同意接受五年停权和 784.20 美元的罚款。
Klein, who has since co-authored a Minnesota state Senate bill to prohibit prediction markets, said he made the bet in October 2025 because he was curious about how prediction markets worked. “I set up an account and bet $50 of my own funds that I would win the primary,” he wrote. “I was informed in March of 2026 that this was a violation of the platform rules. In compliance with their request, I paid a penalty and agreed to be suspended from the platform.” 克莱恩此后参与起草了一项明尼苏达州参议院法案，旨在禁止预测市场。他表示，他在 2025 年 10 月进行投注是因为好奇预测市场的运作方式。“我开设了一个账户，并用我自己的 50 美元资金押注我会赢得初选，”他写道。“我在 2026 年 3 月被告知这违反了平台规则。按照他们的要求，我支付了罚款并同意被平台停权。”
Kalshi also issued a five-year suspension and a penalty of $6,229.30 to independent Mark Moran, a Senate candidate in Virginia, who did not agree to a settlement. “YES, I did bet ~$100 on myself on Kalshi because I wanted to get caught,” Moran wrote in an X post. Moran said he refused a settlement offer that would have compelled him to make a public statement, and that he made the bet to draw attention to Kalshi and his own campaign. “For $100, I just got more attention from CNN, Fox, WSJ, etc than any media consultant ever,” he wrote. “In politics, money has always bought attention, but I can get attention for almost free.” Kalshi 还对弗吉尼亚州参议院候选人、独立人士马克·莫兰处以了五年停权和 6,229.30 美元的罚款，莫兰并未同意和解。“是的，我确实在 Kalshi 上押注了约 100 美元在自己身上，因为我想被抓到，”莫兰在 X 上发帖写道。莫兰表示，他拒绝了一项要求他发表公开声明的和解提议，他进行投注是为了引起人们对 Kalshi 和他自己竞选活动的关注。“花了 100 美元，我从 CNN、福克斯、华尔街日报等媒体获得的关注比任何媒体顾问都要多，”他写道。“在政治中，金钱总是能买到关注，但我几乎可以免费获得关注。”
US blocks states from regulating
美国阻止各州进行监管
Moran wrote that “Kalshi is currently being sued by many states for being an illegal betting market,” and that he made the bet to “bring to light that our ‘democracy’ is up for sale and Kalshi is a platform that can be manipulated by the highest bidder/donor to move a market which will sway voters bc the media will report on it.” 莫兰写道，“Kalshi 目前正因作为非法博彩市场而被许多州起诉，”他进行投注是为了“揭露我们的‘民主’是可以被出售的，而 Kalshi 是一个可以被出价最高者/捐赠者操纵的平台，通过移动市场来影响选民，因为媒体会对此进行报道。”
The Trump administration has fought state efforts to impose stricter regulations on prediction markets. The US won a court ruling that prevents New Jersey from enforcing laws that prohibit betting on college sports and require licenses to offer other types of sports wagers. The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has jurisdiction over prediction markets and recently announced lawsuits against Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois to challenge the states’ regulations. 特朗普政府一直在对抗各州对预测市场实施更严格监管的努力。美国赢得了一项法院裁决，阻止新泽西州执行禁止大学体育博彩以及要求提供其他类型体育博彩需获得许可的法律。美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）对预测市场拥有管辖权，并于近期宣布对亚利桑那州、康涅狄格州和伊利诺伊州提起诉讼，以挑战这些州的监管规定。
“The CFTC will continue to safeguard its exclusive regulatory authority over these markets and defend market participants against overzealous state regulators,” CFTC Chairman Michael Selig said at the time. “CFTC 将继续捍卫其对这些市场的专属监管权，并保护市场参与者免受过度热心的州监管机构的影响，”CFTC 主席迈克尔·塞利格当时表示。
Kalshi said in March that it was “launching new technological guardrails that preemptively block politicians, athletes, and other relevant people from trading in certain politics and sports markets.” Polymarket said yesterday that it is deploying a blockchain system to monitor trading and enforce its rules. Kalshi 在 3 月份表示，它正在“推出新的技术护栏，预先阻止政客、运动员和其他相关人员在特定的政治和体育市场进行交易。”Polymarket 昨日表示，正在部署一个区块链系统来监控交易并执行其规则。